hippoka has made $58K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,155 all time by profit, with 10M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$58K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 10M
- Portfolio value
- $47K
- Profit this month
- −$5,569
- Win rate (last 71 closed)
- 48%
How hippoka has traded
Across all 71 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 34 (48%) ended in profit and 37 in a loss, for +$53K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 34%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 58 of the 71 are about economy and the Fed, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $47K together, the biggest is “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (Yes) at 62% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 9% · closed May 8, 2025
+$22K
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$20K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$19K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jul 16, 2025
+$12K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$7,545
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Jan 29, 2026
+$6,079
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$4,716
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$3,924
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$3,795
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Apr 29, 2026
+$2,525
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Sep 17, 2025
−$13K
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jan 6, 2025
−$11K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Mar 20, 2025
−$8,500
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Oct 29, 2025
−$6,823
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$4,005
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jan 6, 2025
−$2,606
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Aug 15, 2025
−$2,458
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Dec 10, 2025
−$1,611
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Aug 15, 2025
−$1,481
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Jan 6, 2025
−$1,240
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 8%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
+$27K P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 72%, now 77% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,322
+$320 P&L
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 5%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,702
+$3,464 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 68%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,949
+$532 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 19%, now 99% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,028
+$830 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 64%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,022
+$355 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 35%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,016
+$652 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 7%, now 96% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$998
+$922 P&L
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 13%, now 1% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$633
−$5,483 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 2%, now 3% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$630
+$241 P&L
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 3%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$539
+$379 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 21%, now 21% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$303
−$3 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 31%, now 7% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$271
−$1,038 P&L
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 25%, now 0.4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$117
−$8,205 P&L
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 8%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$84
+$44 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 72%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 22%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 93%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 28%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 71%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 27%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 71%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 61%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 47%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 52%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 53%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 45%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 54%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 45%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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