third-eye has made $158K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,293 all time by profit, with 25M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Aug 6, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$158K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 25M
- Profit this month
- −$0
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 73%
How third-eye has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 146 (73%) ended in profit and 54 in a loss, for +$26K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 81%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 109 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$58K

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes · entry 95% · closed May 14, 2026
+$47K

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$36K

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
No · entry 89% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$33K

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$13K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 94% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$11K

Knicks vs. Spurs
Knicks · entry 37% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$8,793

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 98% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$8,473

Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Feb 24, 2026
+$7,628

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
No · entry 93% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$7,494
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Yes · entry 62% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$43K

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Apr 28, 2026
−$43K

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 99% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$13K

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
Zverev · entry 77% · closed Jan 30, 2026
−$9,422

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.5% · closed Jun 6, 2026
−$7,542

Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$7,041

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$5,068

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Max Holloway · entry 65% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$3,250

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)
Israel Adesanya · entry 57% · closed Apr 2, 2026
−$2,850

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 41% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$2,733
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 25%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
$97

Sold Yes at 35%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
$21

Sold Yes at 40%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
$117

Sold No at 65%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$666

Sold No at 65%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$1

Sold No at 65%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$7

Sold No at 65%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$6

Sold Yes at 45%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
$16

Sold Yes at 49%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
$60

Sold No at 75%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$6

Sold No at 75%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$8

Sold No at 75%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$8

Sold No at 75%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$8

Sold No at 75%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$8

Sold No at 75%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
$8
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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