
nigiri99 is down $1.5M in realized results on Polymarket, with 136M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1.5M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 136M
- Portfolio value
- $1.1M
- Profit this month
- −$821K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 71%
How nigiri99 has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 141 (71%) ended in profit and 57 in a loss, for +$170K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 173 of the 198 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $721K together, the biggest is “Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?” (Yes) at 33% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
Ben Shelton · entry 24% · closed Sep 9, 2026
+$221K

Will CF América win on 2026-08-09?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Aug 10, 2026
+$156K

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Aug 27, 2026
+$129K

Western Kentucky vs. Nevada
Nevada · entry 50% · closed Sep 6, 2026
+$120K

Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
Chiefs · entry 47% · closed Sep 27, 2026
+$115K

Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5
Under · entry 49% · closed Sep 25, 2026
+$106K

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Sep 6, 2026
+$106K

Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Aug 22, 2026
+$102K

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
Pelicans · entry 50% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$92K

Oregon vs. Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State · entry 6% · closed Sep 12, 2026
+$92K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$277K

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$212K

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Jul 16, 2026
−$158K

Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Aug 15, 2026
−$157K

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays · entry 43% · closed Sep 23, 2026
−$142K

Spread: Bills (-7.5)
Chargers · entry 52% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$136K

76ers vs. Heat
76ers · entry 56% · closed Mar 31, 2026
−$129K

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?
No · entry 46% · closed Sep 8, 2026
−$129K

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
Under · entry 55% · closed Sep 23, 2026
−$107K

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Aug 29, 2026
−$105K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
Yes · entry 25%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$236K
+$177K P&L

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 34%, now 35% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$63K
+$1,330 P&L

Spread: Chiefs (-13.5)
Seahawks · entry 88%, now 90% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$45K
+$667 P&L

Spread: Chiefs (-14.5)
Seahawks · entry 90%, now 90% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$44K
−$246 P&L

Pacers vs. Nets
Pacers · entry 67%, now 66% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$42K
−$916 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 35%, now 36% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$40K
+$137 P&L

Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
Seahawks · entry 69%, now 69% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$36K
−$263 P&L

Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
Seahawks · entry 76%, now 76% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$33K
−$218 P&L

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
Yes · entry 77%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$32K
+$7,366 P&L

Panthers vs. Blackhawks
Panthers · entry 63%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$31K
+$12K P&L

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 30%, now 30% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
−$484 P&L

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 78%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$4,580 P&L

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
Over · entry 94%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$25K
+$1,455 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 30%, now 30% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
−$582 P&L

Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
Seahawks · entry 85%, now 86% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$105 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Julian Erosa at 39%
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)

Bought No at 44%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 45%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 56%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 44%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Kings at 55%
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)

Bought No at 45%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 45%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Kings at 55%
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)

Bought No at 45%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Kings at 55%
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)

Bought No at 43%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 43%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Over at 56%
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5

Bought No at 43%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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