thugstrade
0xdc07…7cb3 · Joined November 2, 2025
thugstrade is down $1,377 in realized results on Polymarket, with 201K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 3, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,377
- All-time volume (shares)
- 201K
- Portfolio value
- $456
- Profit this month
- −$316
- Win rate (last 121 closed)
- 36%
How thugstrade has traded
Across all 121 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 44 (36%) ended in profit and 77 in a loss, for +$6,034 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 31%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 52 of the 121 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $456 together, the biggest is “Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?” (Yes) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$908
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$793
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jun 13, 2026
+$745
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$714
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$703
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$675
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$644
Knicks vs. Spurs
Knicks · entry 38% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$620
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$620
Knicks vs. Spurs
Knicks · entry 35% · closed Jun 6, 2026
+$597
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$1,006
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$343
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?
No · entry 4% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$338
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$281
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Nov 16, 2025
−$270
Hornets vs. Raptors
Raptors · entry 72% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$220
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Wednesday 12 PM ET?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Dec 3, 2025
−$219
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$98
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15?
Up · entry 11% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$84
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$82
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 23%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$456
−$283 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 20%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Bought Yes at 23%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
$623
Sold Yes at 14%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
$1,119
Sold Yes at 33%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$1,683
Sold Yes at 10%
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
$309
Bought Yes at 6%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
$7
Bought Yes at 5%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
$22
Bought Yes at 7%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
$29
Bought Yes at 20%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
$95
Bought Yes at 42%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
$70
Bought Yes at 44%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
$12
Bought Yes at 44%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
$10
Bought Yes at 44%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
$11
Bought Yes at 44%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
$300
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
$587
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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