CosmicCedar has made $29K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #5,831 all time by profit, with 3.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$29K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.5M
- Portfolio value
- $30K
- Profit this month
- +$57K
- Win rate (last 187 closed)
- 87%
How CosmicCedar has traded
Across the 187 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 162 (87%) ended in profit and 25 in a loss, for +$7,503 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 83 of the 187 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $17K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 28% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
No · entry 1% · closed Sep 7, 2026
+$5,903
Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Nov 15, 2025
+$5,761
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream · entry 59% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$5,293
Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$4,752
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$4,263
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
No · entry 0.6% · closed Dec 2, 2025
+$3,878
Will John Harbaugh be the next Giants Head Coach?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jan 18, 2026
+$3,654
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?
No · entry 62% · closed Jan 11, 2026
+$3,375
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Feb 16, 2026
+$3,375
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Dec 19, 2025
+$2,851
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
No · entry 84% · closed Aug 12, 2026
−$12K
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs
Marsborne · entry 77% · closed Sep 10, 2026
−$5,757
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Feb 3, 2026
−$5,756
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
No · entry >99% · closed Aug 6, 2026
−$4,136
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Nov 30, 2025
−$3,537
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 88% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$3,272
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Spain · entry 96% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$2,691
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
No · entry 86% · closed Feb 16, 2026
−$2,664
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$2,166
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Feb 14, 2026
−$2,166
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 76%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,830
+$270 P&L
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?
No · entry 90%, now >99% · ended Oct 20, 2026
$2,378
+$222 P&L
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$2,094
+$1 P&L
Will C.J. Stroud be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No · entry 97%, now >99% · ends Jan 27, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,430
+$41 P&L
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?
Yes · entry 53%, now 60% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,032
+$115 P&L
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?
Yes · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$847
+$27 P&L
Will there be 3+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$731
+$0 P&L
Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?
Yes · entry 24%, now 79% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$696
+$488 P&L
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?
Yes · entry 93%, now 98% · ended Oct 20, 2026
$683
+$38 P&L
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?
Yes · entry 75%, now 23% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$546
−$1,246 P&L
Will Tennessee have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Yes · entry 98%, now 96% · ends Dec 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$485
−$11 P&L
Will there be 5+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$465
−$0 P&L
Will Jaxson Dart finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
No · entry 91%, now >99% · ends Jan 27, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$393
+$31 P&L
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?
Yes · entry 73%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$385
+$48 P&L
Will there be 6+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$353
+$1 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 54%
Will Matthew Stafford be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought No at 7%
Will Matthew Stafford be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought No at 98%
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 7?
Bought No at 87%
Scorigami in Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL season?
Bought No at >99%
Will C.J. Stroud be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought No at >99%
Will C.J. Stroud be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought No at 99%
Will the San Francisco 49ers be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought Yes at 40%
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Ravens during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought Jets at 18%
Dolphins vs. Jets
Bought No at 78%
Will the Jets win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought Jets at 18%
Dolphins vs. Jets
Bought Yes at 64%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Miami Dolphins be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Bought No at 59%
Will C.J. Stroud be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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