ScaryDream is down $108 in realized results on Polymarket, with 753K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$108
- All-time volume (shares)
- 753K
- Portfolio value
- $2,009
- Profit this month
- +$775
- Win rate (last 58 closed)
- 62%
How ScaryDream has traded
Across all 58 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 36 (62%) ended in profit and 22 in a loss, for +$10K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 68%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,009 together, the biggest is “Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?” (Yes) at 92% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$5,719
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Jul 13, 2026
+$1,398
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$1,174
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$982
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Jun 7, 2026
+$713
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jun 8, 2026
+$597
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Yes · entry 88% · closed May 15, 2026
+$560
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Sep 29, 2026
+$420
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$389
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
No · entry 93% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$298
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
No · entry 84% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$2,522
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Yes · entry 12% · closed May 20, 2026
−$384
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$283
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No · entry 23% · closed Sep 29, 2026
−$104
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 14, 2026
−$104
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$91
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 81% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$45
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$21
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Sep 9, 2026
−$5
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$5
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 61%, now 64% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,846
+$68 P&L
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Yes · entry 17%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$78
−$66 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 5%, now 2% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$57
−$67 P&L
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Yes · entry 15%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 64%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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