Milksheen
0xd872…dfae · Joined September 15, 2026
Milksheen is down $15K in realized results on Polymarket, with 130K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$15K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 130K
- Portfolio value
- $13K
- Profit this month
- −$13K
- Win rate (last 89 closed)
- 61%
How Milksheen has traded
Across all 89 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 54 (61%) ended in profit and 35 in a loss, for −$5,997 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 66%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 11 largest open positions listed below, worth $13K together, the biggest is “Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?” (No) at 33% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
No · entry 45% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$657
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$574
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$470
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$459
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$456
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Oct 3, 2026
+$451
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Down · entry 24% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$444
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$328
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$278
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$258
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$6,493
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$809
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?
No · entry 75% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$546
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?
No · entry 31% · closed Sep 23, 2026
−$501
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Sep 26, 2026
−$356
Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$342
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Up · entry 48% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$311
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Sep 26, 2026
−$291
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$280
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Sep 26, 2026
−$245
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 77%, now >99% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,415
+$987 P&L
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Yes · entry 75%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,231
+$688 P&L
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?
No · entry 62%, now 81% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,189
+$509 P&L
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 93% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$888
+$237 P&L
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Yes · entry 37%, now 40% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$853
+$61 P&L
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 85% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$292
+$40 P&L
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 67% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$222
+$9 P&L
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Yes · entry 45%, now 32% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$159
−$68 P&L
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 68%, now 53% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$146
−$41 P&L
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Yes · entry 19%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$42
−$17 P&L
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 65%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$41
+$12 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 41%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Bought No at 90%
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Bought No at 65%
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 66%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 66%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 66%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 66%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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