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tradervader

0xd7e6…4f99 · Joined October 28, 2024

#22,417 all time#6,971 this monthView on Polymarket

tradervader has made $6,020 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #22,417 all time by profit, with 462K shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Sep 23, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$6,020
All-time volume (shares)
462K
Portfolio value
$33K
Profit this month
+$1,243
Win rate (last 166 closed)
67%

How tradervader has traded

Across all 166 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 111 (67%) ended in profit and 55 in a loss, for +$6,723 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 70%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $20K together, the biggest is “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” (No) at 15% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

    No · entry 88% · closed Feb 6, 2026

    +$2,795

  • Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

    No · entry 82% · closed Jul 17, 2026

    +$732

  • Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 32% · closed Sep 14, 2026

    +$671

  • Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

    No · entry 79% · closed Jul 17, 2026

    +$602

  • Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

    No · entry 30% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    +$468

  • Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

    No · entry 88% · closed Jul 17, 2026

    +$403

  • Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

    No · entry 97% · closed Jan 1, 2026

    +$389

  • Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

    No · entry 17% · closed Dec 7, 2025

    +$384

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 36% · closed Dec 10, 2025

    +$351

  • Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?

    No · entry 93% · closed Jul 17, 2026

    +$318

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

    Yes · entry 93% · closed Dec 7, 2025

    −$1,176

  • Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

    No · entry 75% · closed May 5, 2026

    −$500

  • Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 30% · closed Sep 15, 2026

    −$306

  • Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?

    Yes · entry 37% · closed Dec 18, 2025

    −$300

  • Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

    Yes · entry 58% · closed Mar 10, 2025

    −$250

  • Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    No · entry 34% · closed Nov 7, 2024

    −$250

  • Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

    Yes · entry 10% · closed Feb 6, 2026

    −$225

  • Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?

    No · entry 22% · closed Dec 18, 2025

    −$200

  • Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

    Yes · entry 8% · closed May 5, 2026

    −$200

  • Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

    Yes · entry 4% · closed May 5, 2026

    −$200

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

  • Sold No at 91%

    Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

    $364

  • Sold No at 93%

    Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?

    $116

  • Sold No at 93%

    Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?

    $171

  • Sold No at 93%

    Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?

    $251

  • Sold No at 93%

    Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?

    $28

  • Sold No at 92%

    Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?

    $460

  • Sold No at 92%

    Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?

    $138

  • Bought No at 84%

    Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?

    $76

  • Bought No at 95%

    Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

    $190

  • Bought No at 84%

    Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?

    $92

  • Bought No at 96%

    Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

    $51

  • Bought Yes at 84%

    Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

    $210

  • Sold Yes at 57%

    Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?

    $396

  • Bought No at 88%

    Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

    $176

  • Bought No at 83%

    Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

    $166

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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