inrock30 is down $212K in realized results on Polymarket, with 5.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$212K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 5.7M
- Portfolio value
- $136K
- Profit this month
- −$13K
- Win rate (last 95 closed)
- 53%
How inrock30 has traded
Across all 95 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 50 (53%) ended in profit and 45 in a loss, for −$93K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 59%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $136K together, the biggest is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?” (No) at 35% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$68K
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$34K
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$30K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$26K
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Oct 14, 2025
+$25K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$22K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
No · entry 80% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$20K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$16K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$13K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
No · entry 82% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$13K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Feb 3, 2026
−$103K
O/U 53.5
Over · entry 54% · closed Nov 20, 2025
−$45K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 62% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$39K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$39K
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jan 17, 2026
−$25K
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jan 17, 2026
−$24K
Clemson vs. Boston College: O/U 54.5
Over · entry 51% · closed Nov 20, 2025
−$24K
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$21K
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Feb 3, 2026
−$18K
Maduro out in 2025?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$15K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$48K
+$6,825 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 69%, now 72% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$881 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 61% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$3,285 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$75 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes · entry 29%, now 23% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,136
−$2,478 P&L
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 50%, now 36% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,452
−$2,387 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes · entry 26%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,168
−$16K P&L
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 28%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,665
−$2,913 P&L
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 87%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,529
+$192 P&L
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Yes · entry 6%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$534
−$222 P&L
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes · entry 5%, now 2% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$61
−$88 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 22%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 77%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 62%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 87%
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 87%
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 67%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 87%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Sold No at 86%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,758
Sold No at 87%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$11K
Sold No at 90%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$600
Sold No at 30%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
$2,177
Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
$24K
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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