TBill1 has made $86K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,266 all time by profit, with 12M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$86K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 12M
- Portfolio value
- $117K
- Profit this month
- −$13K
- Win rate (last 186 closed)
- 61%
How TBill1 has traded
Across the 186 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 114 (61%) ended in profit and 72 in a loss, for +$132K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $105K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Yes · entry >99% · closed May 30, 2026
+$78K
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$45K
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$45K
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$45K
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$40K
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$38K
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$35K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 60% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$31K
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 12, 2026
+$30K
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 12, 2026
+$30K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 30, 2026
−$65K
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
−$45K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 3, 2026
−$45K
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$22K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$22K
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 4, 2026
−$20K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 4, 2026
−$20K
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$19K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 4, 2026
−$18K
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 3, 2026
−$17K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$1,072 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 91% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$149 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 74%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$2,156 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,150
+$50 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,150
+$50 P&L
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,895
+$45 P&L
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 87%, now 86% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,082
−$80 P&L
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,850
+$8 P&L
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 60%, now 60% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,727
−$36 P&L
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Mar 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,691
+$49 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,540
−$30 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,460
+$270 P&L
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 28%, now 43% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,261
+$797 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 30%, now 7% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,789
−$6,513 P&L
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes · entry 73%, now 85% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,759
+$245 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 97%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Sold Yes at 67%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 69%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 92%
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 10%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Sold No at 92%
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 64%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 99%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Bought No at 99%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Bought No at >99%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Bought No at 99%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Bought No at 99%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Bought No at 99%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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