881112 has made $444K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #471 all time by profit, with 19M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$444K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 19M
- Portfolio value
- $104K
- Profit this month
- +$9,205
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 56%
How 881112 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 111 (56%) ended in profit and 89 in a loss, for +$15K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 53%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $44K together, the biggest is “H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?” (No) at 22% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Government shutdown on Saturday?
No · entry 10% · closed Feb 15, 2026
+$113K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$99K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Oct 9, 2025
+$38K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Oct 9, 2025
+$32K
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Nov 13, 2025
+$25K
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$24K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$22K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$19K
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
No · entry 62% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$19K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
No · entry 13% · closed May 27, 2026
+$18K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Nov 29, 2025
−$15K
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
No · entry 39% · closed Nov 29, 2025
−$12K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$10K
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Nov 29, 2025
−$9,971
Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Mar 15, 2025
−$8,870
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Nov 29, 2025
−$8,423
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
No · entry 32% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$7,736
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Nov 29, 2025
−$7,519
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Nov 29, 2025
−$7,338
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Nov 29, 2025
−$6,620
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,473
+$905 P&L
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?
No · entry 26%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,793
+$3,513 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 24%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,069
−$1,407 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 50%, now 64% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,806
+$612 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
No · entry 31%, now 60% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,803
+$1,358 P&L
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 22%, now 20% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,535
−$342 P&L
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?
No · entry 90%, now >99% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,492
+$236 P&L
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,209
+$44 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 70%, now 86% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,138
+$387 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Yes · entry 82%, now 88% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,096
+$126 P&L
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?
No · entry 56%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,024
+$868 P&L
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 25%, now 30% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,001
+$311 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 36%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,822
+$1,122 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes · entry 56%, now 68% · ends Jan 28, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,812
+$310 P&L
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No · entry 71%, now 78% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,788
+$169 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 35%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Bought Yes at 28%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Bought Yes at 5%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Sold Yes at 2%
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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