betstaker
0xd3fe…2b28 · Joined April 10, 2026
betstaker is down $536 in realized results on Polymarket, with 46K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$536
- All-time volume (shares)
- 46K
- Portfolio value
- $2,115
- Profit this month
- −$564
- Win rate (last 190 closed)
- 48%
How betstaker has traded
Across the 190 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 91 (48%) ended in profit and 99 in a loss, for −$116 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 67%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,158 together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$87

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$52

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Sep 3, 2026
+$44

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Sep 3, 2026
+$22

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Sep 3, 2026
+$19

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$18

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
No · entry 23% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$17

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$17

Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$15

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
No · entry 49% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$13
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No · entry 6% · closed Sep 3, 2026
−$74

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Aug 11, 2026
−$58

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
No · entry 54% · closed Sep 3, 2026
−$45

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 81% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$43

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No · entry 33% · closed Aug 11, 2026
−$31

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Aug 11, 2026
−$30

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$20

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
No · entry 52% · closed Sep 23, 2026
−$18

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$17

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$16
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$235
−$11 P&L

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Up · entry >99%, now 100% · ended Oct 5, 2026
$155
+$0 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$123
−$0 P&L

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$111
−$1 P&L

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
Yes · entry >99%, now 100% · ended Oct 13, 2026
$65
+$0 P&L

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No · entry 84%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2029

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
Yes · entry 78%, now 100% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$44
+$10 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Yes · entry 99%, now 98% · ended Oct 23, 2026
$38
−$0 P&L

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 99%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Bought Yes at 99%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Bought Yes at 99%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Bought Yes at 99%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Sold Yes at 67%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 66%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 66%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 71%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 72%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 85%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 85%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 85%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 74%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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