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sdiff123

0xd352…4ad6 · Joined November 2, 2020

#3,218,099 all time#665,301 this monthView on Polymarket

sdiff123 is down $33K in realized results on Polymarket, with 19M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$33K
All-time volume (shares)
19M
Portfolio value
$33K
Profit this month
−$2,546
Win rate (last 192 closed)
67%

How sdiff123 has traded

Across the 192 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 128 (67%) ended in profit and 64 in a loss, for +$36K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 59%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 13 largest open positions listed below, worth $33K together, the biggest is “Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (No) at 41% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

    No · entry 12% · closed Nov 5, 2025

    +$18K

  • Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 3% · closed Feb 24, 2025

    +$15K

  • Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Dec 31, 2025

    +$12K

  • Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

    No · entry 56% · closed Apr 30, 2025

    +$12K

  • Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?

    No · entry 44% · closed Nov 21, 2025

    +$9,393

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

    Yes · entry 23% · closed Sep 18, 2024

    +$8,908

  • Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

    No · entry 82% · closed Oct 1, 2025

    +$8,486

  • MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

    Yes · entry 18% · closed Nov 25, 2025

    +$7,804

  • Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

    Yes · entry 62% · closed Nov 9, 2025

    +$6,992

  • Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 27, 2025

    +$5,701

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

    No · entry 30% · closed Jan 3, 2026

    −$27K

  • Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

    Yes · entry 94% · closed Nov 5, 2025

    −$18K

  • Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    No · entry 84% · closed Jul 7, 2024

    −$14K

  • Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

    Yes · entry 21% · closed Mar 17, 2025

    −$12K

  • Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

    No · entry 59% · closed Mar 14, 2025

    −$9,088

  • Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 37% · closed Feb 24, 2025

    −$7,068

  • Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

    Trump · entry 25% · closed Feb 24, 2025

    −$5,730

  • Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

    Yes · entry 10% · closed Sep 18, 2024

    −$5,671

  • Will Coinbase acquire Deribit?

    No · entry 48% · closed May 21, 2025

    −$5,260

  • Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

    Yes · entry 54% · closed May 27, 2026

    −$4,558

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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