
Kickstand7 has made $1.6M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #108 all time by profit, with 69M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1.6M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 69M
- Portfolio value
- $54K
- Profit this month
- +$98K
- Win rate (last 193 closed)
- 71%
How Kickstand7 has traded
Across the 193 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 137 (71%) ended in profit and 56 in a loss, for +$393K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 8 largest open positions listed below, worth $54K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 49% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$128K

Will there be a US Government shutdown?
No · entry 0.5% · closed Dec 24, 2024
+$127K

Was Trump hacked?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jan 19, 2025
+$126K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 3% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$123K

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Yes · entry 0.5% · closed Jun 3, 2025
+$83K

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Mar 16, 2025
+$63K

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Sep 10, 2025
+$50K

Biden drops out in July?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jul 21, 2024
+$48K

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
No · entry 69% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$45K

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$43K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Trump resign today?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 2, 2025
−$182K

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 53% · closed May 19, 2025
−$122K

Was Trump hacked?
No · entry 91% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$109K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Jun 14, 2026
−$103K

Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Dec 30, 2024
−$98K

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
No · entry 98% · closed Jun 3, 2025
−$72K

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 41% · closed Jul 21, 2024
−$69K

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Mar 19, 2025
−$34K

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
No · entry 95% · closed Jun 3, 2025
−$29K

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
No · entry 97% · closed Sep 18, 2025
−$27K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 55%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$26K
+$12K P&L

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 35%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$13K P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 29%, now 31% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,354
+$312 P&L

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 48%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$993
+$373 P&L

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 50%, now 62% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$384
+$75 P&L

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50%, now 38% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$235
−$75 P&L

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 4%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$19
−$1,642 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 66%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 63%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 68%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 68%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 68%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 68%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
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