l3t0 has made $11K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #13,626 all time by profit, with 780K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$11K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 780K
- Portfolio value
- $66K
- Profit this month
- +$3,943
- Win rate (last 108 closed)
- 48%
How l3t0 has traded
Across all 108 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 52 (48%) ended in profit and 56 in a loss, for +$11K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $61K together, the biggest is “Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 13% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Yes · entry 45% · closed May 1, 2026
+$3,395
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$3,154
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No · entry 71% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$2,755
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$2,476
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · entry 71% · closed May 14, 2026
+$2,325
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
No · entry 44% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$2,269
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
No · entry 47% · closed May 19, 2026
+$1,992
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No · entry 75% · closed Sep 3, 2026
+$1,524
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
No · entry 60% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$1,354
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 78% · closed Sep 28, 2026
+$1,265
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
No · entry 62% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$3,579
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed May 30, 2026
−$2,331
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$2,240
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$2,064
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
No · entry 63% · closed May 30, 2026
−$2,001
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$1,671
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Yes · entry 41% · closed May 21, 2026
−$1,550
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 12% · closed May 30, 2026
−$881
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$785
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Sep 24, 2026
−$562
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 61%, now 68% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,235
+$843 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,285
−$379 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No · entry 65%, now 74% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,512
+$638 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 63%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,057
+$172 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 69%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,315
−$48 P&L
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 78%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,313
+$271 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 59%, now 60% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,224
+$36 P&L
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 59%, now 59% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,015
−$16 P&L
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 43%, now 43% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,633
−$0 P&L
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
No · entry 84%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,370
+$346 P&L
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Yes · entry 66%, now 60% · ends Dec 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,767
−$263 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 39%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$2,599
+$1,585 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 29%, now 39% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,387
+$589 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 42%, now 42% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,075
−$25 P&L
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 15%, now 15% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,535
+$65 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 16%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 7%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 16%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 16%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 16%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 7%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sold Yes at 5%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sold Yes at 3%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 66%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Sold Yes at 46%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold Yes at 46%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold Yes at 46%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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