Underdarkus
0xd03c…68cf · Joined January 13, 2025
Underdarkus is down $2,657 in realized results on Polymarket, with 338K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$2,657
- All-time volume (shares)
- 338K
- Portfolio value
- $3,984
- Profit this month
- +$136
- Win rate (last 98 closed)
- 35%
How Underdarkus has traded
Across all 98 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 34 (35%) ended in profit and 64 in a loss, for +$2,835 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 36%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 13 largest open positions listed below, worth $3,984 together, the biggest is “Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?” (Yes) at 82% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US-China trade deal before June?
Yes · entry 22% · closed May 12, 2025
+$4,529
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Yes · entry 45% · closed May 7, 2025
+$2,449
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
No · entry 41% · closed Mar 14, 2026
+$1,102
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$930
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$853
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · entry 35% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$656
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Mar 4, 2025
+$587
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Yes · entry 72% · closed May 1, 2025
+$560
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$551
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 65% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$413
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$1,082
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$1,039
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Mar 29, 2026
−$998
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
No · entry 62% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$700
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Mar 29, 2026
−$679
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Mar 29, 2026
−$656
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Mar 29, 2026
−$436
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Aug 8, 2025
−$433
Trump Travel Ban Before May?
No · entry 34% · closed Apr 7, 2025
−$390
Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?
No · entry 25% · closed Jun 9, 2025
−$349
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,262
+$141 P&L
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 21% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$210
+$60 P&L
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Yes · entry 29%, now 13% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$156
−$206 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes · entry 18%, now 6% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$90
−$210 P&L
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Yes · entry 14%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$61
−$153 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Yes · entry 40%, now 13% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$59
−$131 P&L
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 3%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 23%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27
−$41 P&L
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 12%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20
−$44 P&L
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Yes · entry 44%, now 16% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17
−$32 P&L
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
Yes · entry 21%, now 26% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
Yes · entry 25%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 96%
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
Bought Yes at 15%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
Sold Yes at 97%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought Yes at 3%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$50
Sold Yes at 24%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$54
Bought Yes at 52%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$180
Bought Yes at 40%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
$190
Sold No at 85%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$361
Sold No at 85%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$4
Sold No at 85%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$10
Bought Yes at 54%
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
$121
Bought Yes at 21%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$250
Bought No at 33%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
$700
Sold Yes at 75%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$251
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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