pantomime has made $224K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #941 all time by profit, with 25M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$224K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 25M
- Portfolio value
- $121K
- Profit this month
- +$15K
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 45%
How pantomime has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 87 (45%) ended in profit and 108 in a loss, for +$41K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 40%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 118 of the 195 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $121K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (No) at 27% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Netanyahu out by March 31?
Yes · entry 0.6% · closed Mar 28, 2026
+$85K

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Dec 23, 2025
+$58K

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed Jul 8, 2025
+$47K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$47K

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Yes · entry 38% · closed May 30, 2026
+$39K

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$38K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 15% · closed Feb 8, 2026
+$25K

Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jan 3, 2025
+$22K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 0.3% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$21K

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Oct 23, 2025
+$18K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Netanyahu out by March 31?
No · entry >99% · closed Apr 6, 2026
−$82K

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
No · entry 99% · closed Jul 9, 2025
−$45K

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
−$37K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Sep 4, 2026
−$22K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$20K

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Dec 25, 2025
−$19K

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Dec 23, 2025
−$18K

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Dec 25, 2025
−$17K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$16K

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
No · entry >99% · closed May 30, 2026
−$15K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$32K
+$175 P&L

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$213 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 74%, now 87% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$2,305 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 14%, now 83% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$12K P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10,000
−$80 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 38%, now 87% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,108
+$5,098 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 35%, now 38% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,000
+$400 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
No · entry 37%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,075
+$1,874 P&L

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 71%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,604
+$96 P&L

Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
No · entry 79%, now 94% · ends Jan 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,135
+$187 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 57%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$761
+$175 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes · entry 0.4%, now 6% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$567
+$531 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?
No · entry 11%, now 9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$291
−$80 P&L

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 46%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$253
+$136 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?
Yes · entry 12%, now 10% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$139
−$33 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 78%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 78%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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