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Old-Birthday

0xcf7e…2808 · Joined July 31, 2024

#2,141,913 all time#72,293 this monthView on Polymarket

Old-Birthday is down $20 in realized results on Polymarket, with 29K shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$20
All-time volume (shares)
29K
Portfolio value
$394
Profit this month
+$5
Win rate (last 42 closed)
55%

How Old-Birthday has traded

Across all 42 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 23 (55%) ended in profit and 19 in a loss, for −$20 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 76%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $394 together, the biggest is “Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” (No) at 100% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 41% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    +$4

  • Coinbase #1 finance app on Friday?

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Nov 17, 2024

    +$4

  • Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

    No · entry 93% · closed Nov 17, 2024

    +$4

  • Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?

    No · entry 75% · closed May 10, 2026

    +$2

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?

    No · entry 83% · closed Jul 29, 2025

    +$1

  • Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-03-22?

    No · entry 84% · closed May 10, 2026

    +$1

  • US bank failure before December?

    No · entry 95% · closed Jan 15, 2025

    +$1

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?

    Yes · entry 52% · closed Mar 22, 2026

    +$1

  • Will Biden finish his term?

    Yes · entry 92% · closed Mar 21, 2025

    +$1

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?

    No · entry 93% · closed Jul 29, 2025

    +$1

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

    Yes · entry 84% · closed Mar 21, 2025

    −$15

  • Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    No · entry 46% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    −$5

  • Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    No · entry >99% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    −$4

  • Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?

    Yes · entry 26% · closed Jan 15, 2025

    −$3

  • Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

    Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Jan 15, 2025

    −$3

  • Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 30?

    Yes · entry 39% · closed Dec 2, 2025

    −$2

  • Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?

    Yes · entry 19% · closed Nov 17, 2024

    −$2

  • Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Up · entry 26% · closed May 18, 2026

    −$1

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11?

    No · entry 40% · closed May 18, 2026

    −$1

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?

    Yes · entry 20% · closed May 18, 2026

    −$1

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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