Ahpo has made $137K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,471 all time by profit, with 18M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$137K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 18M
- Portfolio value
- $96K
- Profit this month
- +$12K
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 91%
How Ahpo has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 177 (91%) ended in profit and 18 in a loss, for +$29K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $90K together, the biggest is “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?” (Yes) at 55% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$7,696
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$4,393
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
No · entry 21% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$3,823
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$3,402
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Apr 29, 2026
+$3,089
Prince Andrew released by February 19?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Feb 19, 2026
+$2,958
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Aug 20, 2026
+$2,868
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Feb 13, 2026
+$2,369
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 18, 2026
+$2,155
Government shutdown on Saturday?
No · entry >99% · closed Feb 15, 2026
+$1,941
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$4,267
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Up · entry 53% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$3,387
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$2,894
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 50% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$1,454
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Up · entry 52% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$1,349
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$1,220
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Up · entry 52% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$1,164
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Up · entry 86% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$774
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No · entry >99% · closed May 27, 2026
−$492
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$457
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$50K
+$30 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,277
−$17 P&L
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,044
+$32 P&L
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,582
+$32 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,590
+$152 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 81%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,212
−$31 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,827
−$10 P&L
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,566
+$105 P&L
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,437
+$12 P&L
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,425
+$1 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,308
+$8 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,155
+$18 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,055
+$2 P&L
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?
No · entry 93%, now 90% · ends Feb 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,002
−$31 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$987
+$15 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Bought No at >99%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at >99%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 80%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Sold No at 82%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Sold No at 81%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Sold No at >99%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 52%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Bought No at 78%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Sold Yes at 68%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Bought Yes at 58%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Bought Yes at 55%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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