Bravo414 has made $2,474 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #44,522 all time by profit, with 138K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,474
- All-time volume (shares)
- 138K
- Portfolio value
- $2,617
- Profit this month
- +$515
- Win rate (last 159 closed)
- 67%
How Bravo414 has traded
Across all 159 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 107 (67%) ended in profit and 52 in a loss, for +$2,399 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 60%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,332 together, the biggest is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” (No) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 62% · closed May 31, 2026
+$572

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
No · entry 31% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$424

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 68% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$310

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$211

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No · entry 57% · closed Aug 4, 2026
+$204

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No · entry 74% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$188

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$179

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Jan 4, 2026
+$163

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 48% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$132

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$132
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Oct 7, 2026
−$511

World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
No · entry 4% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$361

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Oct 7, 2026
−$223

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Dec 3, 2025
−$150

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
No · entry 56% · closed May 31, 2026
−$144

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 7, 2026
−$120

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$95

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$81

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Nov 20, 2025
−$80

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Jan 12, 2026
−$70
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No · entry 18%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$531
+$421 P&L

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes · entry 27%, now 22% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$343
−$92 P&L

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Yes · entry 9%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$316
−$264 P&L

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 57%, now 65% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$235
+$30 P&L

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
Yes · entry 31%, now 40% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$231
+$51 P&L

Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes · entry 33%, now 21% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$157
−$99 P&L

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 22%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$91
−$32 P&L

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes · entry 25%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$85
−$39 P&L

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25%, now 3% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$83
−$672 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
Yes · entry 72%, now 36% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$49
−$51 P&L

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Yes · entry 14%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$41
−$59 P&L

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Yes · entry 25%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$41
−$29 P&L

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 11%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34
−$96 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 72%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?

Sold No at 48%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Sold Yes at 62%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?

Bought No at 32%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 31%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Sold Yes at 30%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought No at 31%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Sold No at 92%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Bought No at 30%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Bought Yes at 44%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?

Sold Yes at 88%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

Bought No at 30%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Bought Yes at 25%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Sold No at 82%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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