Mangy62 has made $13K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #12,156 all time by profit, with 607K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$13K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 607K
- Portfolio value
- $41K
- Profit this month
- +$2,265
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 80%
How Mangy62 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 159 (80%) ended in profit and 41 in a loss, for +$50K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 102 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $41K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House” (Yes) at 50% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Nov 19, 2024
+$9,697

House control after 2024 election?
Republican · entry 45% · closed Nov 19, 2024
+$8,245

Will Trump win 7 swing states?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Nov 19, 2024
+$7,398

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Nov 19, 2024
+$6,999

Trump wins every swing state?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Nov 19, 2024
+$3,962

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jan 22, 2025
+$3,714

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Jan 28, 2025
+$3,457

Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Mar 25, 2025
+$3,109

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Apr 10, 2026
+$2,680

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Nov 19, 2024
+$2,406
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$2,406

Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Mar 25, 2025
−$1,714

Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$1,600

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
No · entry 25% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$1,492

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Apr 12, 2026
−$1,449

Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Mar 25, 2025
−$1,190

Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Mar 25, 2025
−$875

Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Mar 25, 2025
−$848

Will Biden pardon Trump?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Mar 25, 2025
−$448

Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Mar 25, 2025
−$417
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 57%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$2,419 P&L

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 29%, now 28% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,462
−$147 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 70%, now 70% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,900
+$0 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 70% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,677
+$471 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 38%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,310
+$550 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 42%, now 42% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,274
−$28 P&L

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Yes · entry 55%, now 55% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$637
−$6 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 60%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$625
+$25 P&L

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes · entry 40%, now 42% · market ended
$623
+$23 P&L

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Yes · entry 38%, now 10% · ends Aug 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$212
−$627 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 39% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$193
+$3 P&L

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes · entry 17%, now 16% · market ended
$155
−$15 P&L

Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes · entry 46%, now 59% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$118
+$26 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes · entry 15%, now 22% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$59
+$19 P&L

Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes · entry 26%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 54%
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Bought Yes at 54%
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Bought Yes at 54%
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Bought No at 70%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 74%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 55%
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Sold Yes at 95%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 91%
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Sold No at 87%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?

Sold No at 88%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?

Bought Yes at 23%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Bought No at 81%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?

Bought No at 85%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?

Bought Sam Houston at 61%
Spread: New Mexico State (-5.5)

Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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