hose has made $58K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,177 all time by profit, with 8.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 20, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$58K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 8.0M
- Portfolio value
- $144K
- Profit this month
- −$9,866
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 54%
How hose has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 107 (54%) ended in profit and 91 in a loss, for +$112K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 57%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $144K together, the biggest is “Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” (Yes) at 42% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$113K

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$100K

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 43% · closed May 19, 2026
+$9,062

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
No · entry 87% · closed Nov 1, 2025
+$9,001

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$8,948

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$7,410

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 45% · closed May 8, 2026
+$7,114

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
No · entry 75% · closed Apr 4, 2026
+$6,643

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$5,312

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 66% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$4,666
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$27K

OpenAI browser by October 31?
No · entry 37% · closed Oct 22, 2025
−$25K

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jul 9, 2026
−$21K

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Oct 15, 2025
−$19K

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$17K

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$15K

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
No · entry 49% · closed Nov 5, 2025
−$14K

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$11K

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$9,445

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$7,411
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 40%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$60K
+$79 P&L

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 25%, now 18% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
−$11K P&L

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 74%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$1,058 P&L

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 69%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$3,928 P&L

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 35%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,886
+$3,145 P&L

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 41%, now 72% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,760
+$1,597 P&L

Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 80%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,750
+$665 P&L

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 84%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,598
+$11 P&L

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 2%, now 2% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,225
−$145 P&L

Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,755
+$304 P&L

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 25%, now 56% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$810
+$449 P&L

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 6%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$405
−$444 P&L

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 9%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$332
+$8 P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 20%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$202
+$1 P&L

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 9%, now 13% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$126
+$32 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 82%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 80%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Sold No at 98%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 79%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Sold No at 98%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 77%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 77%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 77%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 77%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 77%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Sold No at 98%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Sold No at 98%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Sold No at 98%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Sold No at 98%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Sold No at 98%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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