QMG-CORE has made $87K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,221 all time by profit, with 18M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$87K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 18M
- Portfolio value
- $437K
- Profit this month
- −$10K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 52%
How QMG-CORE has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 102 (52%) ended in profit and 96 in a loss, for −$6,349 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 73%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 110 of the 198 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $235K together, the biggest is “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 34% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$128K
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Jun 22, 2026
+$14K
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$9,840
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$5,844
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$5,010
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$4,491
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Apr 29, 2026
+$3,694
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$2,875
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$2,814
Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$2,800
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$32K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$31K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$28K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$17K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$15K
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No · entry 63% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$14K
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$13K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$12K
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$6,031
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$5,102
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 22%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$79K
+$61K P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$99 P&L
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
−$568 P&L
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$40 P&L
Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$326 P&L
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$45 P&L
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$548 P&L
New pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,636
+$463 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,549
+$17 P&L
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 88%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,370
+$462 P&L
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 78%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,651
−$191 P&L
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Yes · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Oct 5, 2026
$7,631
+$182 P&L
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,471
+$347 P&L
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,255
+$268 P&L
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,012
+$324 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at >99%
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Sold No at >99%
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Sold No at >99%
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Sold No at >99%
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Sold No at >99%
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Sold No at >99%
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Sold Yes at 93%
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Sold Yes at 61%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought Yes at 65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 72%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold No at >99%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Bought No at >99%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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