maxdawg has made $74K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,569 all time by profit, with 563K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$74K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 563K
- Portfolio value
- $14K
- Profit this month
- −$1,784
- Win rate (last 92 closed)
- 64%
How maxdawg has traded
Across all 92 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 59 (64%) ended in profit and 33 in a loss, for +$76K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 36%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $13K together, the biggest is “Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (No) at 29% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 6% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$20K

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 30% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$7,932

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
No · entry 14% · closed Jan 18, 2026
+$5,322

Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 17% · closed Jan 18, 2026
+$5,315

Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 50% · closed Apr 4, 2026
+$4,002

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
No · entry 26% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$3,665

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 43% · closed Mar 16, 2026
+$3,514

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
No · entry 21% · closed Mar 11, 2026
+$2,908

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 22% · closed Dec 9, 2025
+$2,597

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 31% · closed Mar 16, 2026
+$2,384
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
No · entry 34% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$1,350

Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
No · entry 27% · closed Mar 30, 2026
−$659

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
No · entry 8% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$627

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Apr 14, 2026
−$625

Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 19% · closed Feb 26, 2026
−$471

Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 2% · closed Mar 30, 2026
−$338

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Aug 28, 2026
−$331

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Sep 14, 2026
−$303

Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
No · entry 18% · closed Mar 30, 2026
−$223

Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
No · entry 12% · closed Mar 27, 2026
−$188
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 39%, now 44% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,718
+$403 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 46%, now 39% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,407
−$445 P&L

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 37%, now 28% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,277
−$394 P&L

Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 49%, now 49% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,028
−$9 P&L

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 17%, now 11% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$763
−$410 P&L

Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 35%, now 31% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$574
−$88 P&L

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes · entry 14%, now 7% · ends Mar 14, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$545
−$532 P&L

Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 43%, now 37% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$528
−$90 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 49%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$395
−$398 P&L

Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 28%, now 30% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$393
+$22 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes · entry 34%, now 55% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$358
+$137 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 24%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$313
−$580 P&L

Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 15%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$235
+$97 P&L

Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?
Yes · entry 18%, now 33% · ends Feb 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$231
+$104 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 46%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$189
−$1,136 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 40%
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Bought No at 40%
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Bought No at 44%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Bought No at 12%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Bought No at 48%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Bought No at 45%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Bought No at 56%
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Bought No at 29%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Bought Yes at 12%
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought Yes at 11%
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Bought No at 50%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Bought No at 50%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Bought No at 49%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Bought No at 48%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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