BrightStars has made $348K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #604 all time by profit, with 28M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 21, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$348K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 28M
- Portfolio value
- $741K
- Profit this month
- −$26K
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 74%
How BrightStars has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 145 (74%) ended in profit and 51 in a loss, for +$950K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 78%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $741K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 75% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$348K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$169K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$120K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
No · entry 63% · closed May 26, 2026
+$85K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$63K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$41K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$34K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$33K
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes · entry 30% · closed May 27, 2026
+$30K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$17K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$11K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$10K
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$10K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
No · entry 12% · closed May 24, 2026
−$9,589
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Apr 22, 2026
−$7,238
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 31% · closed May 21, 2026
−$6,314
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jun 7, 2026
−$4,735
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
No · entry 79% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$4,385
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$3,038
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$2,798
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$557K
+$209K P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$140K
−$209K P&L
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
+$1,324 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 13%, now 7% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,667
−$7,321 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Yes · entry 8%, now 7% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,622
−$1,354 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,218
−$12 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Yes · entry 5%, now 0.8% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$228
−$1,192 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
No · entry 5%, now 0.3% · ended Oct 23, 2026
$48
−$885 P&L
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No · entry 57%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 10%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 10%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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