Flamboyant-Warming has made $332K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #621 all time by profit, with 24M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$332K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 24M
- Portfolio value
- $292K
- Profit this month
- +$233K
- Win rate (last 145 closed)
- 59%
How Flamboyant-Warming has traded
Across the 145 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 85 (59%) ended in profit and 60 in a loss, for +$17K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $47K together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 18% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$8,840
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$6,672
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Oct 8, 2026
+$5,602
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$4,849
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$4,560
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$4,233
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$4,132
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$4,123
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$3,754
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Sep 28, 2026
+$3,450
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
No · entry 73% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$6,574
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
No · entry 84% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$6,444
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?
No · entry 25% · closed May 7, 2026
−$4,827
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
No · entry 48% · closed May 7, 2026
−$4,349
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$4,322
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
No · entry 32% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$3,291
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$3,222
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$3,182
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
No · entry 92% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$3,045
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$3,025
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 42%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,298
+$4,649 P&L
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,386
+$261 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 69%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,894
+$1,067 P&L
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No · entry 71%, now 85% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,212
+$534 P&L
Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
No · entry 84%, now 87% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$3,185
+$131 P&L
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
No · entry 75%, now 92% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,946
+$534 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 88%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,592
+$313 P&L
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
No · entry 94%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,554
−$21 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 36%, now 77% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,511
+$1,326 P&L
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,284
+$91 P&L
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,245
+$90 P&L
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
No · entry 68%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,243
+$674 P&L
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,221
−$57 P&L
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
No · entry 72%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,160
+$381 P&L
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes · entry 84%, now 85% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,082
+$20 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Sold No at 64%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 42%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 45%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 55%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 95%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 91%
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Bought No at 92%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Sold Yes at 30%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 61%
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Sold No at 96%
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?
Sold No at 96%
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?
Sold No at 97%
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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