dumb-trader67
0xc484…4cd5 · Joined February 12, 2024
dumb-trader67 has made $7,570 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #18,679 all time by profit, with 1.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 8, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$7,570
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.5M
- Portfolio value
- $7,509
- Profit this month
- +$1,519
- Win rate (last 142 closed)
- 45%
How dumb-trader67 has traded
Across all 142 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 64 (45%) ended in profit and 78 in a loss, for +$12K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 32%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 5 largest open positions listed below, worth $7,509 together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (Yes) at 89% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Dec 21, 2025
+$8,715
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Feb 25, 2026
+$8,020
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 17% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$7,005
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Feb 24, 2026
+$5,341
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$4,714
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$4,000
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
No · entry 6% · closed Dec 21, 2025
+$3,500
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$3,400
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
No · entry 32% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$3,366
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Dec 21, 2025
+$2,514
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$17K
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$14K
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
No · entry 28% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$3,000
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$2,587
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$2,329
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$2,220
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$1,794
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 67% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$1,666
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Dec 21, 2025
−$1,570
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$1,259
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 33%, now 20% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,667
−$4,603 P&L
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 14%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$720
−$2,128 P&L
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?
Yes · entry 31%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$102
−$518 P&L
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 12%, now 11% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 10%, now 1% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10
−$89 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Sold Yes at 7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1
Sold Yes at 7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$0
Sold Yes at 7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$5
Sold Yes at 7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$13
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$1
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Sold Yes at 4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$2
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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