Contestable-Parfait
0xc301…66aa · Joined October 10, 2026
Contestable-Parfait has made $6,977 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #19,922 all time by profit, with 1.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$6,977
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.7M
- Portfolio value
- $670K
- Profit this month
- +$58K
- Win rate (last 65 closed)
- 60%
How Contestable-Parfait has traded
Across all 65 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 39 (60%) ended in profit and 26 in a loss, for −$5,640 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 48%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 48 of the 65 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $569K together, the biggest is “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No) at 42% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$12K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
No · entry 0.3% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$7,366
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 16% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$3,679
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$985
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
No · entry 8% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$971
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$750
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 34% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$668
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 8% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$628
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$553
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
No · entry 12% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$528
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 14% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$16K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$6,751
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$4,890
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$2,905
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$2,385
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 81% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,388
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
No · entry 75% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$943
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$851
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$631
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$617
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 55%, now 87% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$238K
+$90K P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 58%, now 88% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$114K
+$38K P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 64%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$59K
+$1,177 P&L
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 75%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34K
+$591 P&L
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes · entry 51%, now 53% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$778 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 65%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$722 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 67%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$250 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
−$61 P&L
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 71%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,350
−$333 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 24%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,380
+$694 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 67%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,338
−$131 P&L
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes · entry 75%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,336
+$69 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No · entry 63%, now 91% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,659
+$2,053 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 80%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,378
+$137 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 88%, now 88% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,980
−$14 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 98%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought Yes at 98%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought Yes at 99%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 63%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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