oranginapol
0xc1c9…3e2f · Joined June 21, 2026
oranginapol is down $303 in realized results on Polymarket, with 75K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Aug 2, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$303
- All-time volume (shares)
- 75K
- Profit this month
- −$0
- Win rate (last 172 closed)
- 68%
How oranginapol has traded
Across all 172 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 117 (68%) ended in profit and 55 in a loss, for +$2,845 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 82%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 81 of the 172 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$792

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$278

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Jul 11, 2026
+$259

Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$162

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Jul 5, 2026
+$159

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$134

Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$113

Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Jun 28, 2026
+$98

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$97

Saudi Arabia vs. Lebanon
Lebanon · entry 75% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$95
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jun 28, 2026
−$305

Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$102

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Jul 16, 2026
−$100

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$92

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 81% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$85

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$72

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$71

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$51

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$49

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$43
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 19%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$92

Sold Yes at 12%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$84

Sold No at 96%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$101

Sold Yes at 91%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?
$226

Sold Yes at 84%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
$97

Sold Yes at 95%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
$97

Sold No at 98%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
$103

Sold Yes at 21%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$100

Sold No at 79%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$91

Sold Yes at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$58

Sold No at 96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
$100

Sold No at 93%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
$104

Sold No at 91%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$105

Sold Yes at 75%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
$139

Sold No at 94%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
$303
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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