gmacdonald
0xc047…c0e6 · Joined November 4, 2024
gmacdonald is down $1,812 in realized results on Polymarket, with 106K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,812
- All-time volume (shares)
- 106K
- Portfolio value
- $6,919
- Profit this month
- +$352
- Win rate (last 86 closed)
- 83%
How gmacdonald has traded
Across all 86 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 71 (83%) ended in profit and 15 in a loss, for +$8,129 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $6,919 together, the biggest is “Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?” (No) at 31% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No · entry 56% · closed Aug 4, 2026
+$1,226
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 81% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$1,142
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 24% · closed May 2, 2026
+$966
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · entry 77% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$870
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · entry 83% · closed Sep 9, 2026
+$754
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No · entry 71% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$638
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 44% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$445
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 83% · closed May 12, 2026
+$384
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$379
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No · entry 91% · closed May 19, 2026
+$291
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
No · entry 94% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$100
US bank failure by January 31?
No · entry 98% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$98
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
No · entry 81% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$81
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jun 10, 2026
−$80
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$75
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$66
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 8% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$57
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No · entry 49% · closed Sep 26, 2026
−$53
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Jan 29, 2026
−$36
US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jan 29, 2026
−$35
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,140
+$221 P&L
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,225
+$114 P&L
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No · entry 80%, now 86% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,101
+$81 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No · entry 94%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$996
+$56 P&L
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 87% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$874
−$101 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No · entry 54%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$442
+$172 P&L
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on November 30, 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 85% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$141
+$10 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 93%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on November 30, 2026?
Sold No at 79%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Bought No at 87%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.