
trulyalya1
0xbf5f…c035 · Joined February 19, 2026
trulyalya1 has made $22K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,361 all time by profit, with 1.1M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 21, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$22K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.1M
- Portfolio value
- $5,967
- Profit this month
- −$6,413
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 64%
How trulyalya1 has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 127 (64%) ended in profit and 72 in a loss, for +$89K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 172 of the 199 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $5,967 together, the biggest is “Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?” (Yes) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
No · entry 59% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$4,651

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?
Up · entry 47% · closed May 9, 2026
+$3,316

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?
Down · entry 26% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$3,297

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
Up · entry 51% · closed Aug 2, 2026
+$2,836

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?
Up · entry 52% · closed May 4, 2026
+$2,785

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?
Up · entry 52% · closed Jun 11, 2026
+$2,720

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16?
Down · entry 53% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$2,640

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?
Down · entry 53% · closed Apr 28, 2026
+$2,633

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
Up · entry 54% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$2,608

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Up · entry 54% · closed Oct 8, 2026
+$2,600
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Trump visit China by May 15?
No · entry 12% · closed May 18, 2026
−$2,071

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?
Down · entry 52% · closed May 11, 2026
−$1,552

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?
Up · entry 52% · closed Apr 30, 2026
−$1,497

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?
Down · entry 50% · closed May 5, 2026
−$1,452

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Up · entry 51% · closed May 18, 2026
−$1,390

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5AM ET
Down · entry 53% · closed Apr 10, 2026
−$802

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10AM ET
Down · entry 53% · closed Apr 10, 2026
−$800

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7AM ET
Down · entry 55% · closed Apr 22, 2026
−$800

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12PM ET
Down · entry 49% · closed Apr 22, 2026
−$800

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12PM ET
Down · entry 52% · closed Apr 10, 2026
−$800
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Yes · entry 63%, now 75% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,190
+$190 P&L

Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?
Yes · entry 64%, now 64% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,007
+$7 P&L

Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?
Yes · entry 66%, now 56% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$841
−$159 P&L

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
Yes · entry 64%, now 53% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$832
−$168 P&L

Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
Yes · entry 69%, now 56% · ends Nov 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$814
−$186 P&L

Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?
Yes · entry 64%, now 49% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$766
−$234 P&L

Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?
Yes · entry 59%, now 31% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$517
−$483 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 63%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Bought Yes at 59%
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?

Bought Yes at 64%
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?

Bought Yes at 64%
Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?

Bought Yes at 64%
Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

Bought Down at 10%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?

Bought Down at 10%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?

Bought Down at 53%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?

Sold Down at >99%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?

Bought Down at 8%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?

Bought Down at 28%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?

Bought Down at 27%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?

Sold Yes at 95%
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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