Decent-Poncho
0xbe78…c533 · Joined August 6, 2025
Decent-Poncho has made $30K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #5,736 all time by profit, with 970K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$30K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 970K
- Portfolio value
- $911
- Profit this month
- −$1,415
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 58%
How Decent-Poncho has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 116 (58%) ended in profit and 83 in a loss, for +$16K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 199 of the 199 are about culture and entertainment, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $911 together, the biggest is “Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?” (Yes) at 86% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$8,246
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jan 6, 2026
+$4,570
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Mar 13, 2026
+$3,438
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Feb 3, 2026
+$2,465
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jan 21, 2026
+$2,139
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Yes · entry 53% · closed May 11, 2026
+$1,723
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$1,711
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$1,700
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Feb 18, 2026
+$1,653
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Mar 31, 2026
+$1,341
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$7,533
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$2,558
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$2,439
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$1,360
Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?
Iron Lung · entry 8% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$1,359
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$953
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$781
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$736
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$682
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$670
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?
Yes · entry 73%, now 58% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$781
−$200 P&L
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 4%, now 4% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East?
Yes · entry 27%, now 38% · ends Jan 4, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$38
+$11 P&L
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?
Yes · entry 50%, now 0.9% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7
−$398 P&L
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?
Yes · entry 15%, now 0.2% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$5
−$341 P&L
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Yes · entry 58%, now 0.5% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$1
−$164 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 2%
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?
Bought Yes at 70%
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?
Bought Yes at 70%
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?
Bought Yes at 74%
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?
Bought Yes at 57%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Sold No at 43%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Sold Yes at 3%
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?
Bought Yes at 17%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?
Bought Yes at 16%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?
Bought Yes at 59%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Bought Yes at 56%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Bought Yes at 57%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Bought Yes at 59%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Bought Yes at 59%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Bought Yes at 59%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.