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Kind-Substitution

0xbe04…3c60 · Joined January 9, 2026

#3,221,352 all time#5,355 this monthView on Polymarket

Kind-Substitution is down $50K in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.5M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$50K
All-time volume (shares)
1.5M
Portfolio value
$84K
Profit this month
+$1,793
Win rate (last 198 closed)
81%

How Kind-Substitution has traded

Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 161 (81%) ended in profit and 37 in a loss, for −$44K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 82%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 14 largest open positions listed below, worth $84K together, the biggest is “Trump out as President before 2027?” (No) at 28% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

    No · entry 84% · closed Feb 1, 2026

    +$3,453

  • Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

    Yes · entry 94% · closed Mar 6, 2026

    +$2,549

  • US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

    No · entry 91% · closed Feb 23, 2026

    +$2,386

  • Netanyahu out by June 30?

    No · entry 85% · closed Aug 15, 2026

    +$2,056

  • US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

    No · entry 80% · closed Jan 17, 2026

    +$2,008

  • US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

    Yes · entry 56% · closed Feb 6, 2026

    +$1,882

  • Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

    No · entry 88% · closed Mar 1, 2026

    +$1,766

  • UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

    Islam Makhachev · entry 73% · closed Aug 16, 2026

    +$1,620

  • Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

    No · entry 91% · closed Oct 1, 2026

    +$1,606

  • Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

    No · entry 70% · closed Feb 1, 2026

    +$1,510

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?

    No · entry 97% · closed Mar 3, 2026

    −$6,899

  • Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

    No · entry 47% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$5,214

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

    No · entry 73% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    −$5,014

  • US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

    No · entry 28% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$4,864

  • Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?

    Yes · entry 97% · closed Mar 3, 2026

    −$4,841

  • Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?

    No · entry 65% · closed Feb 23, 2026

    −$4,553

  • Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

    No · entry 94% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$4,329

  • US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

    No · entry 37% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$3,957

  • US forces enter Iran by April 30?

    No · entry 33% · closed Apr 6, 2026

    −$3,954

  • Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?

    No · entry 93% · closed Mar 6, 2026

    −$3,739

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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