JonathanThomas4369
0xbcac…f545 · Joined December 10, 2025
JonathanThomas4369 has made $494 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #116,174 all time by profit, with 343K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Jun 16, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$494
- All-time volume (shares)
- 343K
- Portfolio value
- $289
- Profit this month
- +$3
- Win rate (last 181 closed)
- 51%
How JonathanThomas4369 has traded
Across the 181 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 93 (51%) ended in profit and 88 in a loss, for −$2,002 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 48%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $289 together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?” (No) at 83% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$741

Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 2AM ET
Up · entry 36% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$637

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Yes · entry 16% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$563

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 38% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$531

Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
No · entry 55% · closed Jan 12, 2026
+$528

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Feb 14, 2026
+$443

Will "Safety" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$421

Will Trump post "AG" or "Attorney General" this week on Truth Social?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$365

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Feb 11, 2026
+$342

Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Feb 12, 2026
+$327
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
No · entry 75% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$851

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
No · entry 84% · closed Apr 21, 2026
−$578

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?
No · entry 84% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$537

Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?
No · entry 66% · closed Apr 21, 2026
−$484

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?
No · entry 73% · closed Mar 16, 2026
−$397

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?
No · entry 59% · closed Mar 10, 2026
−$330

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
Over · entry 50% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$315

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Over · entry 33% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$283

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 68% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$261

XRP Up or Down - February 19, 8AM ET
Up · entry 51% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$245
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 94% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$241
+$35 P&L

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 75%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No · entry 58%, now 60% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 28%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades

Sold No at 89%
New pandemic in 2026?
$23

Sold No at 90%
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
$707

Sold No at 85%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
$476

Sold No at 85%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
$17

Sold No at 85%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
$29

Bought No at 88%
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
$692

Bought Yes at 12%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
$14

Bought Yes at 12%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
$38

Bought No at 84%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
$516

Sold No at 27%
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?
$166

Sold No at 27%
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?
$169

Sold Yes at 10%
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
$5

Sold Yes at 10%
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
$56

Sold Yes at 10%
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
$58

Sold No at 22%
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
$205
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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