Modern-Alfalfa
0xbc73…d0c6 · Joined March 5, 2026
Modern-Alfalfa is down $4,034 in realized results on Polymarket, with 42K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$4,034
- All-time volume (shares)
- 42K
- Portfolio value
- $2,460
- Profit this month
- +$15
- Win rate (last 21 closed)
- 57%
How Modern-Alfalfa has traded
Across all 21 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 12 (57%) ended in profit and 9 in a loss, for −$207 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 48%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,460 together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 56% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
Over · entry 74% · closed Jun 7, 2026
+$889
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev · entry 75% · closed Jun 7, 2026
+$508
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$503
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$280
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
No · entry 80% · closed Apr 2, 2026
+$109
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$98
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
No · entry 34% · closed May 1, 2026
+$41
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$36
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians
Rajasthan Royals · entry 43% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$28
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$945
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$747
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
Over · entry 36% · closed Jun 7, 2026
−$510
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Jun 7, 2026
−$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jun 7, 2026
−$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$95
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?
No · entry 27% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$93
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 7?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jun 7, 2026
−$80
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?
No · entry 61% · closed Apr 6, 2026
−$10
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,373
−$8 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 72%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,088
+$8 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 72%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought No at 13%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
$650
Bought Yes at 21%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
$200
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$37
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$3
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$120
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$2
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$6
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$63
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$38
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$15
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$570
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$8
Bought Under 4.5 at 60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
$292
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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