Knowing-Lacquerware-Hospitalization
0xbc3e…6693 · Joined October 15, 2026
Knowing-Lacquerware-Hospitalization has made $1,501 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #64,621 all time by profit, with 249K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1,501
- All-time volume (shares)
- 249K
- Portfolio value
- $3,742
- Profit this month
- +$313
- Win rate (last 70 closed)
- 43%
How Knowing-Lacquerware-Hospitalization has traded
Across all 70 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 30 (43%) ended in profit and 40 in a loss, for +$1,501 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 46%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $3,742 together, the biggest is “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?” (No) at 91% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$936
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$595
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
No · entry 87% · closed Apr 30, 2026
+$592
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No · entry 86% · closed May 17, 2026
+$478
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$391
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 3, 2026
+$345
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No · entry 91% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$292
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 87% · closed Jun 3, 2026
+$253
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Apr 30, 2026
+$169
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Yes · entry 97% · closed May 9, 2026
+$160
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$1,626
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$457
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
No · entry 31% · closed Apr 30, 2026
−$440
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Apr 18, 2026
−$328
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
No · entry 1% · closed Apr 27, 2026
−$210
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$140
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$110
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
No · entry 2% · closed May 13, 2026
−$72
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
No · entry 3% · closed Apr 21, 2026
−$51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 57% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$28
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No · entry 50%, now 53% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,391
+$183 P&L
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 19%, now 13% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$349
−$151 P&L
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes · entry 2%, now 0.4% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Recent trades
Bought No at 48%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Bought No at 50%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Bought Yes at 19%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 2%
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Yes at 0.6%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Sold No at 29%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought No at 27%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought No at 96%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$100
Bought No at 96%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$326
Bought No at 97%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$1,331
Sold No at 89%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$1,783
Bought No at 94%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$250
Bought No at 96%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$796
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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