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stocastico

0xbafe…2ba1 · Joined June 3, 2024

#19,424 all time#7,487 this monthView on Polymarket

stocastico has made $7,169 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #19,424 all time by profit, with 212K shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 3, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$7,169
All-time volume (shares)
212K
Portfolio value
$32K
Profit this month
+$1,068
Win rate (last 7 closed)
86%

How stocastico has traded

Across all 7 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 6 (86%) ended in profit and 1 in a loss, for +$7,169 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 78%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 4 of the 7 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $32K together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 43% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

    No · entry 88% · closed Jan 5, 2026

    +$2,421

  • Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

    No · entry 92% · closed Oct 3, 2026

    +$1,804

  • No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 93% · closed Jan 28, 2026

    +$1,430

  • Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 54% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    +$926

  • Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    No · entry 63% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    +$460

  • Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

    No · entry 87% · closed Feb 8, 2026

    +$144

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

    No · entry 65% · closed Dec 1, 2024

    −$15

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

  • Bought No at 95%

    Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

  • Bought No at 93%

    Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

  • Bought No at 91%

    Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

  • Bought No at 91%

    Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

    $20K

  • Bought No at 90%

    Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

    $4,000

  • Bought No at 88%

    Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

    $4,000

  • Sold No at 89%

    Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

    $6,944

  • Sold Yes at >99%

    No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

    $22K

  • Bought Yes at 93%

    No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

    $20K

  • Bought No at 87%

    Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

    $6,800

  • Bought No at 88%

    Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

    $18K

  • Sold No at 65%

    Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

    $3,397

  • Bought No at 65%

    Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

    $3,412

  • Sold No at 66%

    Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    $10K

  • Sold Yes at 59%

    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    $11K

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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