
ThanksGivingTurkey1001
0xbace…3429 · Joined July 16, 2025
ThanksGivingTurkey1001 has made $23K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,151 all time by profit, with 6.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$23K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 6.2M
- Portfolio value
- $232K
- Profit this month
- −$29K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 61%
How ThanksGivingTurkey1001 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 122 (61%) ended in profit and 78 in a loss, for −$1,982 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 67%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $194K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Solana dip to $80 in February?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Feb 6, 2026
+$11K

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Feb 6, 2026
+$9,614

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$6,204

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 2, 2026
+$6,165

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 95% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$4,172

Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
No · entry 82% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$4,059

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
No · entry 90% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$3,586

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 58% · closed Aug 20, 2026
+$3,540

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 93% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$3,003

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$2,518
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?
No · entry 56% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$28K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 73% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$21K

France vs. England: O/U 6.5
Under · entry 95% · closed Jul 18, 2026
−$7,602

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
No · entry 80% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$7,517

Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
No · entry 76% · closed Dec 16, 2025
−$5,331

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$5,318

Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?
No · entry 94% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$4,820

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$4,220

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$3,708

Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Jul 18, 2026
−$3,654
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 26%, now 65% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$45K
+$27K P&L

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No · entry 85%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$42K
+$336 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 41%, now 33% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$5,644 P&L

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 87%, now 88% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$106 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 18%, now 41% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$7,724 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
No · entry 70%, now 96% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$2,999 P&L

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,480
+$262 P&L

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
No · entry 79%, now 97% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,829
+$1,280 P&L

Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 56%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,053
+$1,569 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 84%, now 36% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,643
−$6,160 P&L

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,493
+$488 P&L

Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 86%, now 82% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,214
−$196 P&L

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,910
+$231 P&L

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes · entry 32%, now 28% · ends Jan 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,576
−$436 P&L

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No · entry 75%, now 74% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,534
−$78 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 34%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 50%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 50%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 50%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 50%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 50%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 50%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 50%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 51%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 35%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 35%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 35%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 35%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 35%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 35%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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