magcidwa has made $642 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #102,824 all time by profit, with 485K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$642
- All-time volume (shares)
- 485K
- Portfolio value
- $9,137
- Profit this month
- −$494
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 91%
How magcidwa has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 180 (91%) ended in profit and 17 in a loss, for +$164 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 93%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 154 of the 197 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $9,109 together, the biggest is “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?” (No) at 66% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
No · entry 99% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$469
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?
Down · entry 87% · closed Oct 8, 2025
+$75
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Dec 14, 2025
+$67
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
No · entry 99% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$52
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?
Up · entry 22% · closed Oct 13, 2025
+$35
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?
Up · entry 64% · closed Nov 8, 2025
+$28
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
No · entry >99% · closed Feb 2, 2026
+$27
Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?
Up · entry 66% · closed Nov 8, 2025
+$26
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?
No · entry 80% · closed Dec 1, 2025
+$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 28?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$24
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Celsius say "Amazon" during earnings call?
Yes · entry 96% · closed May 26, 2026
−$100
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 8?
Yes · entry 79% · closed May 26, 2026
−$100
Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?
Up · entry 37% · closed May 26, 2026
−$100
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Nov 7, 2025
−$61
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Feb 3, 2026
−$56
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jan 6, 2026
−$35
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
Up · entry 28% · closed May 26, 2026
−$33
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 14-20?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$31
Ethereum Up or Down on January 15?
Up · entry 28% · closed May 26, 2026
−$28
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Yes · entry 7% · closed May 26, 2026
−$21
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,038
+$38 P&L
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 19-25?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,299
−$1 P&L
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
No · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,014
+$14 P&L
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$285
+$5 P&L
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 89%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$178
+$18 P&L
Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027?
No · entry >99%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$142
−$3 P&L
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 42%, now 72% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24
+$10 P&L
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes · entry >99%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
No · entry 98%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 63%, now 39% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20
−$13 P&L
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 78%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 55%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14
−$98 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$10
+$0 P&L
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 97%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Recent trades
Bought No at >99%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 19-25?
Bought No at >99%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?
Bought No at >99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?
Bought No at >99%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 24?
Bought No at >99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?
Bought No at >99%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 22?
Bought No at >99%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 22?
Bought No at >99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 22?
Bought No at >99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 21?
Bought No at >99%
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 21?
Bought No at >99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 21?
Bought No at >99%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 20?
Bought Yes at >99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 19?
Bought No at >99%
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 18?
Bought No at >99%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 17?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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