CaptainCoinflip has made $92K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,111 all time by profit, with 5.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$92K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 5.6M
- Portfolio value
- $64K
- Profit this month
- +$5,709
- Win rate (last 194 closed)
- 61%
How CaptainCoinflip has traded
Across the 194 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 119 (61%) ended in profit and 75 in a loss, for +$11K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 57%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 14 largest open positions listed below, worth $64K together, the biggest is “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?” (Yes) at 43% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$20K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$8,818
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$8,791
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$8,780
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$8,589
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Dec 16, 2025
+$6,520
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$4,782
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$4,765
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Jul 21, 2025
+$3,940
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Jun 24, 2025
+$3,879
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Dec 1, 2025
−$7,582
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 81% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$3,905
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
No · entry 86% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$3,339
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Dec 20, 2025
−$2,814
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
No · entry 16% · closed Dec 16, 2025
−$2,801
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Dec 16, 2025
−$2,139
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Jan 16, 2026
−$2,119
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jan 29, 2026
−$2,098
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Jan 19, 2026
−$1,930
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
No · entry 92% · closed Jun 9, 2026
−$1,602
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 86%, now 93% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$1,801 P&L
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No · entry 50%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$4,575 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Yes · entry 92%, now 98% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$681 P&L
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Yes · entry 95%, now 99% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,835
+$334 P&L
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Jan 1, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,925
−$4,575 P&L
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$723
−$24 P&L
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?
Yes · entry >99%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$493
−$5 P&L
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?
Yes · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$222
+$1 P&L
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 6%, now 5% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$94
−$27 P&L
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?
Yes · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$60
+$0 P&L
Iran leadership change by October 31?
Yes · entry 2%, now 0.7% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$53
−$97 P&L
Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 5%, now 3% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 4%, now 14% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Will voter turnout be less than 66% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 5%, now 0.6% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Recent trades
Sold Yes at >99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Sold Yes at >99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Sold Yes at >99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Sold Yes at >99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Sold Yes at >99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Sold Yes at >99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Bought Yes at 96%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Sold Yes at 98%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Bought Yes at 96%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Bought No at 0.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Bought No at 0.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Bought Yes at 40%
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 31%
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 96%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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