tnl has made $22K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,324 all time by profit, with 18M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$22K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 18M
- Portfolio value
- $188K
- Profit this month
- −$72K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 42%
How tnl has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 83 (42%) ended in profit and 116 in a loss, for −$35K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 46%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $153K together, the biggest is “Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?” (Yes) at 29% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Feb 6, 2026
+$23K
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jul 12, 2026
+$18K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Apr 5, 2026
+$12K
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Gold · entry 31% · closed Jan 26, 2026
+$12K
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 6?
No · entry 20% · closed Feb 7, 2026
+$12K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$10K
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 5?
No · entry 32% · closed Feb 6, 2026
+$8,201
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
No · entry 50% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$8,099
England vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Over · entry 33% · closed Sep 26, 2026
+$8,037
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$7,488
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 29% · closed May 10, 2026
−$28K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Aug 12, 2026
−$20K
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
No · entry 72% · closed Jul 12, 2026
−$18K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Jul 18, 2026
−$16K
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$12K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$8,530
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$7,192
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jul 9, 2026
−$7,076
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$6,865
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Switzerland · entry 26% · closed Jul 12, 2026
−$6,839
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes · entry 29%, now 14% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$45K
−$49K P&L
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No · entry 87%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34K
−$777 P&L
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Yes · entry 37%, now 74% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$23K
+$11K P&L
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 10%, now 11% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,500
+$250 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 62%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,394
+$1,291 P&L
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 22%, now 22% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,375
−$125 P&L
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Yes · entry 68%, now 72% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,260
+$312 P&L
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,945
+$395 P&L
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,893
+$193 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,550
+$300 P&L
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,994
+$400 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 69%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,625
+$175 P&L
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 8%, now 8% · ends Jun 20, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,891
−$191 P&L
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 91%, now 88% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,582
−$103 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No · entry 74%, now 84% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,281
+$260 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 51%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?
Bought Yes at 44%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?
Bought No at 66%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 51%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?
Bought Yes at 44%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?
Bought Yes at 11%
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 22%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought No at 66%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 66%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 66%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Bought Yes at 86%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?
Bought Yes at 86%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?
Bought Yes at 86%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?
Bought Yes at 1%
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought No at 91%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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