lastminwin
0xb5d1…6e35 · Joined June 18, 2026
lastminwin is down $10K in realized results on Polymarket, with 3.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$10K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.9M
- Portfolio value
- $946K
- Profit this month
- −$16K
- Win rate (last 5 closed)
- 40%
How lastminwin has traded
Across all 5 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 2 (40%) ended in profit and 3 in a loss, for −$5,987 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 38%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $729K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 12% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Oct 2, 2026
+$8

Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$6
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$3,486

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
No · entry 49% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$2,467

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 24% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$49
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 78%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$90K
+$2,250 P&L

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 77%, now 85% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$87K
+$7,512 P&L

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 88%, now 89% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$69K
+$651 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 68%, now 71% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$60K
+$1,731 P&L

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$52K
+$384 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$51K
−$521 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 61%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$49K
+$4,010 P&L

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 91%, now 89% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$47K
−$723 P&L

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 88%, now 86% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$47K
−$1,082 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 88%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$38K
+$1,984 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 37%, now 38% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$31K
+$581 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 69%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$30K
−$2,760 P&L

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 87%, now 87% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
+$128 P&L

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 45%, now 43% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
−$869 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 85%, now 27% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
−$53K P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.3%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 2%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 87%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 71%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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