
cambridgeisaac has made $68K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,755 all time by profit, with 7.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$68K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.2M
- Portfolio value
- $104K
- Profit this month
- +$954
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 62%
How cambridgeisaac has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 124 (62%) ended in profit and 76 in a loss, for −$3,110 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 60%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $77K together, the biggest is “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?” (No) at 28% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$36K

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$27K

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Jun 22, 2026
+$8,204

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$6,927

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$5,261

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$5,177

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$4,675

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 22, 2026
+$4,421

Trump renames AI by September 30?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$4,325

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$4,285
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$15K

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Feb 14, 2026
−$11K

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$10K

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
No · entry 76% · closed Jul 13, 2026
−$7,604

Government shutdown on Saturday?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$6,757

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Aug 16, 2026
−$6,070

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jul 8, 2026
−$6,012

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Aug 31, 2026
−$5,848

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 36% · closed May 13, 2026
−$5,607

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$5,470
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 72%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$1,069 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 68%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$1,161 P&L

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 84%, now 75% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$8,065
−$1,074 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,787
−$33 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,787
+$932 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 68%, now 80% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,897
+$432 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 76%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,686
−$55 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 81%, now 90% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,600
+$243 P&L

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 75% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,347
+$68 P&L

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 14%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,157
+$960 P&L

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 27%, now 36% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,095
+$503 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 74%, now 71% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,053
−$88 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 81% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,570
−$29 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 85%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,398
+$127 P&L

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No · entry 77%, now 61% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,344
−$371 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 40%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Bought Yes at 21%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 71%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 63%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 39%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 71%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at >99%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 71%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 72%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 93%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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