alpheclabs is down $1.1M in realized results on Polymarket, with 105M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1.1M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 105M
- Portfolio value
- $83K
- Profit this month
- −$335K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 51%
How alpheclabs has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 102 (51%) ended in profit and 98 in a loss, for −$25K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 43%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 154 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $70K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 29% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Somerset
Northamptonshire · entry 18% · closed Jul 18, 2026
+$37K
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Rafael Jodar · entry 41% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$29K
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Team WE · entry 21% · closed Aug 6, 2026
+$25K
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5
Over · entry 60% · closed Jun 23, 2026
+$24K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
No · entry 48% · closed May 30, 2026
+$24K
Set 2 Winner: Kym vs Tsitsipas
Kym · entry 29% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$22K
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 18, 2026
+$21K
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
G2 Esports · entry 24% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$20K
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batalla
Yanaki Milev · entry 46% · closed Aug 3, 2026
+$19K
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$18K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India
India · entry 86% · closed Jun 26, 2026
−$106K
ODI Series England vs India: England vs India
India · entry 20% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$48K
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
No · entry 72% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$39K
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
G2 Esports · entry 42% · closed Sep 29, 2026
−$36K
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Over · entry 62% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$33K
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5
Over · entry 55% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$32K
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Top Esports · entry 40% · closed Jul 5, 2026
−$32K
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Artur Kukasian vs Idriss Haddouch
Idriss Haddouch · entry 54% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$32K
Spread: Germany (-5.5)
Curaçao · entry 73% · closed Jun 14, 2026
−$30K
ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Facundo Perlov vs Denis Klok
Denis Klok · entry 85% · closed Aug 12, 2026
−$28K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 37%, now 56% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$6,888 P&L
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 78%, now 84% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$759 P&L
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
Lions · entry 80%, now 86% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,550
+$550 P&L
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs prodigy - Map 1 Winner
ZOTIX · entry 61%, now 51% · ended Oct 24, 2026
$5,240
−$1,118 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 45%, now 57% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,018
+$1,020 P&L
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 5%, now 53% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$3,549
+$3,243 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 5%, now 7% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,515
+$580 P&L
Broncos vs. Cardinals
Broncos · entry 79%, now 92% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,477
+$338 P&L
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer
No · entry 53%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,260
+$1,055 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 38%, now 43% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,069
+$267 P&L
CA Estudiantes vs. Club Atletico Los Andes: O/U 0.5
Over · entry 80%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$1,964
+$392 P&L
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 20%, now 54% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$1,637
+$1,031 P&L
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
No · entry 57%, now 55% · ended Oct 10, 2026
$1,393
−$56 P&L
Spread: Rams (-10.5)
Raiders · entry 39%, now 16% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,327
−$1,893 P&L
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · entry 49%, now >99% · ends Dec 6, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,262
+$646 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 56%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 56%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 56%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Lakers at 43%
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
Bought Jazz at 74%
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
Bought Yes at 54%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 54%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 54%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 54%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 54%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Gen.G at 95%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
Bought Yes at 54%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought LYON at 4%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
Bought Yes at 56%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 11%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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