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Maplesky

0xb34a…8588 · Joined October 14, 2026

#14,681 all time#351 this monthView on Polymarket

Maplesky has made $10K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #14,681 all time by profit, with 1.3M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$10K
All-time volume (shares)
1.3M
Portfolio value
$17K
Profit this month
+$51K
Win rate (last 58 closed)
48%

How Maplesky has traded

Across all 58 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 28 (48%) ended in profit and 30 in a loss, for +$9,023 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 16%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 34 of the 58 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $17K together, the biggest is “Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?” (Yes) at 21% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

    No · entry 5% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    +$9,521

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    +$6,825

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 21, 2026

    +$5,564

  • Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

    Yes · entry 10% · closed Oct 17, 2026

    +$3,949

  • Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    +$2,035

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

    Yes · entry 8% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    +$1,255

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?

    Yes · entry 92% · closed Oct 22, 2026

    +$615

  • Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

    No · entry 37% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    +$400

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    No · entry 17% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    +$165

  • West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies

    West Indies · entry 25% · closed Oct 18, 2026

    +$140

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    −$6,871

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    −$6,743

  • Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

    No · entry 91% · closed Oct 17, 2026

    −$4,538

  • Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry 13% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    −$1,463

  • NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry 25% · closed Oct 23, 2026

    −$1,046

  • India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India

    New Zealand · entry 42% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    −$430

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

    Yes · entry 8% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    −$261

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

    Yes · entry 8% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    −$96

  • Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

    Yes · entry 48% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    −$83

  • Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?

    Yes · entry 9% · closed Oct 18, 2026

    −$81

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

    Yes · entry 49%, now 55% · ends Nov 8, 2026

    $3,618

    +$411 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 81%, now 44% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $3,154

    −$2,752 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

    Yes · entry 3%, now 21% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $2,830

    +$2,469 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

    Yes · entry 11%, now 39% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $2,791

    +$1,968 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 11%, now 2% · ends Nov 1, 2026

    $2,658

    −$8,743 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

    Yes · entry 1.0%, now 2% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $690

    +$316 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?

    Yes · entry 29%, now 61% · ends Oct 25, 2026

    $462

    +$239 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 29%, now 19% · ends Jan 1, 2027

    $416

    −$243 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?

    Yes · entry 69%, now 35% · ends Oct 25, 2026

    $267

    −$263 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

    Yes · entry 1%, now 21% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $108

    +$101 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 4%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 29, 2026

    $93

    −$7,092 P&L

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

    Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 26, 2026

    $16

    −$330 P&L

  • Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $2

    −$54 P&L

  • Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $2

    −$54 P&L

  • Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $2

    −$54 P&L

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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