NiceDuckBro has made $11K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #13,824 all time by profit, with 1.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$11K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.8M
- Portfolio value
- $19K
- Profit this month
- +$4,182
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 70%
How NiceDuckBro has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 139 (70%) ended in profit and 60 in a loss, for +$25K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $18K together, the biggest is “Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?” (No) at 11% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
No · entry 85% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$3,501
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$3,237
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$3,020
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
No · entry 60% · closed Dec 1, 2025
+$3,010
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
No · entry 43% · closed Jan 16, 2026
+$2,941
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$2,511
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
No · entry 63% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$2,445
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Aug 19, 2026
+$1,898
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 16% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$1,848
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$1,620
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 82% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$9,372
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 79% · closed Mar 11, 2026
−$7,230
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?
No · entry 92% · closed Mar 11, 2026
−$5,095
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Mar 17, 2026
−$3,080
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Mar 17, 2026
−$3,044
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Mar 17, 2026
−$3,040
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Mar 17, 2026
−$3,040
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Mar 11, 2026
−$2,909
Will Leavitt say "Lebanon" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Mar 16, 2026
−$2,840
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Mar 17, 2026
−$2,800
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
No · entry 63%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,049
+$460 P&L
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,933
−$10 P&L
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 70%, now 53% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,720
−$564 P&L
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 78%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,655
+$93 P&L
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 81% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,450
+$142 P&L
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 61%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,440
+$334 P&L
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
No · entry 83%, now 85% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,275
+$35 P&L
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
No · entry 32%, now 38% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,125
+$166 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
No · entry 91%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,097
+$93 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 87% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$995
−$6 P&L
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Yes · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$928
+$36 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 36% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$912
−$861 P&L
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Yes · entry 47%, now 8% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$669
−$3,285 P&L
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$534
+$26 P&L
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?
No · entry 76%, now 84% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$377
+$35 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 2%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 87%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 21%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Bought Yes at 12%
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
Bought No at 75%
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 69%
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 98%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Bought No at 36%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
Bought No at 80%
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Bought No at 80%
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Bought No at 80%
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Bought No at 35%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
Bought No at 80%
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Bought No at 80%
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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