Messy-Ritual-Hops
0xb0e7…39d2 · Joined September 16, 2026
Messy-Ritual-Hops has made $122K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,617 all time by profit, with 7,161 shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$122K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7,161
- Portfolio value
- $991
- Profit this month
- +$1.7M
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 28%
How Messy-Ritual-Hops has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 56 (28%) ended in profit and 142 in a loss, for +$52K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $401 together, the biggest is “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?” (Yes) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 35% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$43K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 28% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$14K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 65% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$13K
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$8,735
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
No · entry 1% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$7,582
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$6,114
Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Sep 2, 2026
+$5,038
Will England win on 2026-10-03?
No · entry 0.5% · closed Oct 3, 2026
+$4,297
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$3,445
Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Oct 2, 2026
+$2,446
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$4,125
Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 2, 2026
−$2,296
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Oct 3, 2026
−$2,166
Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$2,129
Will AEK win on 2026-09-02?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Sep 2, 2026
−$1,850
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,768
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,690
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,690
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,690
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,690
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 11%, now 51% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$81
+$64 P&L
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Yes · entry 3%, now 83% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$45
+$43 P&L
Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 9%, now 93% · ends Oct 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$32
+$29 P&L
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now 0.1% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28
−$181 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Yes · entry 11%, now 0.4% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25
−$681 P&L
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 3%, now 68% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22
+$21 P&L
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?
No · entry 61%, now 75% · ends Dec 15, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes · entry 11%, now 2% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20
−$89 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Yes · entry 10%, now 67% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19
+$16 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 25?
Yes · entry 9%, now 99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18
+$17 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Yes · entry 11%, now 0.1% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15
−$1,081 P&L
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$249 P&L
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$249 P&L
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$249 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 30%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold No at 98%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?
Sold Yes at 93%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?
Sold No at 83%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 93%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
$80
Sold No at 99%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
$248
Sold Yes at 11%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 20%-25%?
$1
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$1
Sold Yes at 6%
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
$1
Sold Yes at 4%
Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?
$1
Sold Yes at 12%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 35%-40%?
$1
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$1
Sold No at 9%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
$2
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Edoardo Corvi (Parma) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A season?
$1
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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