glm4.1.fund has made $702K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #279 all time by profit, with 30M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$702K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 30M
- Portfolio value
- $3,562
- Profit this month
- +$1.4M
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 47%
How glm4.1.fund has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 94 (47%) ended in profit and 106 in a loss, for +$167K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 66%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,426 together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No) at 33% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
No · entry 1% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$152K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No · entry 0.9% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$98K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 30% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$50K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 13% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$47K
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 2% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$46K
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$40K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 0.4% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$36K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 87% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$33K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
No · entry 0.5% · closed Sep 24, 2026
+$31K
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
No · entry 0.3% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$26K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$27K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$25K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$22K
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$13K
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 9, 2026
−$12K
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$12K
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$12K
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$12K
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$11K
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$11K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 65%, now 65% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$474
−$4 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 35%, now 36% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$264
+$9 P&L
Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?
Yes · entry 13%, now 94% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$68
+$58 P&L
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Yes · entry 14%, now 93% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$65
+$56 P&L
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$50
−$1,067 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on October 25?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 25?
Sold Yes at 0.5%
Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 50%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Bought No at 50%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
Bought No at 35%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 2%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 35%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 35%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 2%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 98%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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