bonfino is down $1,248 in realized results on Polymarket, with 3.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,248
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.6M
- Portfolio value
- $4,093
- Profit this month
- +$250
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 82%
How bonfino has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 161 (82%) ended in profit and 36 in a loss, for −$477 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 79%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 11 largest open positions listed below, worth $4,093 together, the biggest is “Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?” (Yes) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?
Up · entry 0.2% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$2,154

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 2?
Down · entry 0.1% · closed Mar 18, 2026
+$2,091

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Aug 1, 2025
+$2,061

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
No · entry 90% · closed Mar 24, 2026
+$1,730

Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?
No · entry 6% · closed Aug 31, 2025
+$1,570

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$1,494

S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$1,303

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Oct 9, 2025
+$1,281

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
No · entry 16% · closed Mar 10, 2026
+$1,257

Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Oct 1, 2025
+$1,212
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
Down · entry 8% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$3,438

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
Up · entry 96% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$3,027

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 30, 2025
−$2,081

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 2?
Up · entry >99% · closed Mar 2, 2026
−$2,046

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?
Down · entry >99% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$2,019

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$1,760

Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Sep 9, 2025
−$1,578

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$1,474

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
No · entry 94% · closed Oct 10, 2025
−$1,255

S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Jan 6, 2026
−$1,239
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Yes · entry 83%, now 86% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,050
+$39 P&L

Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Yes · entry 98%, now 84% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$707
−$121 P&L

Will Movistar KOI Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?
No · entry 86%, now >99% · ended Dec 15, 2026
$519
+$72 P&L

Will Dplus KIA Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?
Yes · entry 97%, now >99% · ended Dec 15, 2026
$375
+$12 P&L

Will Dplus KIA Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?
Yes · entry 91%, now >99% · ends Dec 15, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$350
+$29 P&L

Will Hanwha Life Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?
No · entry 11%, now 33% · ends Dec 15, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$346
+$230 P&L

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
No · entry 28%, now 32% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$320
+$40 P&L

LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
Gen.G · entry 66%, now 63% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$234
−$13 P&L

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Yes · entry 26%, now 11% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$91
−$117 P&L

Will LYON Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?
Yes · entry 28%, now 22% · ends Dec 15, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$82
−$21 P&L

Will there be 2+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?
Yes · entry 39%, now 38% · ends Dec 15, 2026
Recent trades

Bought Gen.G at 66%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

Bought Yes at 28%
Will LYON Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?

Bought Yes at 19%
Will LYON Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?

Bought No at 28%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 26%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

Sold No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Sold No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Sold No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Sold No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Sold No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Sold No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Sold No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Sold No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Sold Yes at 32%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 32%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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