bettingonwar has made $4,023 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #30,695 all time by profit, with 184K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$4,023
- All-time volume (shares)
- 184K
- Portfolio value
- $43K
- Profit this month
- +$69
- Win rate (last 7 closed)
- 86%
How bettingonwar has traded
Across all 7 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 6 (86%) ended in profit and 1 in a loss, for +$4,008 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 96%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $43K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · entry 91% · closed Sep 10, 2026
+$2,817
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 6, 2026
+$633
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$552
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 15, 2026
+$15
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No · entry 91% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$66
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$110 P&L
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,766
+$60 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,939
−$62 P&L
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Yes · entry 29%, now 27% · ends Jan 1, 2030
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,007
−$439 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,903
+$45 P&L
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,100
−$7 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,313
−$13 P&L
Trump goes to space in 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,702
−$3 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,023
+$23 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No · entry 69%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$792
+$171 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 97%
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 95%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Bought No at 97%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Bought No at 93%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Bought No at 98%
Trump goes to space in 2026?
Bought No at 92%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Bought No at >99%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?
Bought No at 88%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 99%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought No at 95%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Sold No at 91%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
$3,740
Sold No at 91%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
$50
Sold No at 91%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
$3,003
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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